I had a gut feeling all the while that China did not start the coronavirus pandemic. But it wasn't a feeling by chance. My gut feeling was based on some sound argument I developed during the time that accusations were made against China for the corona virus.
China for me couldn't be the originator of the virus for the following reasons:
Firstly, China which was striding along valiantly in economic and geopolitical terms had much to lose if it started the virus. Its economy would collapse. Its people would die. And it would lose the goodwill it had painstakingly created for itself over the past twenty years. China had much to lose if it created a pandemic that would kill people everywhere.
Secondly, China's rise has largely been by pleasing America and serving as America's manufacturing hub. For the past 20 years China has been falling head over heels to please America and the West to nurture its own growth. A virus that would afflict America and the West was antithetical to China's goals mentioned in point one.
Thirdly, if China had developed the virus to cause chaos in the world, it would have exposed the virus far from its own soil. China has deep inroads in many countries around the world. It could easily have dropped the virus in some African or Asian nation and no one would have known about it. Why would China create a virus and nurture it to kill its own people and to bring it a bad name?
Fourthly, China's population is huge and its cities are densely populated with people living in homes like sardine containers. It is foolish to think that a China that is rising (some may say already risen) intellectually, industrially, economically, technologically, and geopolitically would do such a stupid thing to destroy itself. China needs every physically fit skilled and unskilled labourer to serve its massive industrial project. One just cannot think that China, a country so meticulous in other matters to enhance its reputation around the world, would do such a dangerous and stupid thing.
Fifthly, the Chinese government, i.e. the Communist government is under pressure from within the massive country to ease control and encourage other forms of government. Under these circumstances, the Communists would do everything to win over the people and not the opposite. The spread of a pandemic and the consequent loss of lives and jobs could easily spread unrest in the country and threaten to topple the government. Why would an efficient government do such a thing to itself?
Sixthly, to make itself even more powerful and richer, China would want the world to be at peace so that it could extend its industrial and economic influence further. A virus that kills and causes chaos in the world is in direct opposition to that purpose.
Finally, China has the world's biggest population. And in land size it is one of the world's biggest. Millions visit China from all over the world every year and for all kinds of reasons. Though China has an efficient policing system that keeps a close eye for trouble, it is humanly impossible to control and/or check everything that comes into the country. I was of the strong opinion from the very beginning that the virus was planted in that country by outsiders to harm that country's reputation and growing influence, and to stop its advancement.
For these reasons I was absolutely convinced from the very beginning that CHINA DID NOT START THE CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC.
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